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Article #265: 10 Tips For Handicapping College Bowl Games

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10 Things To Consider When Handicapping big part in the preparation, discipline
Bowl Games.... and conduct of the players when on the
Handicapping bowl games has a few road. #7 - Handicapping the regular
different things to consider when trying season is certainly a little easier as
to beat the line. You obviously still you have both teams having played
have to take your normal statistical basically the teams within their
handicapping formulas into consideration, conference. This makes it easy to compare
but there are situations that are unique results against common teams. In bowl
to handicapping bowl games. Here are the games you don't have that luxury, but
ones I consider to be important when comparing the results of common regular
doing your analyzation. #1 - Look for season opponents that do exist is one of
teams coming into their bowl with my favorite angles for getting an edge in
momentum...I like to look at the last 3 handicapping bowl games. If team A for
games. Teams coming in on winning streaks example has lost two games by an average
are more to my favor than teams that have say of 10 points per game to two teams
lost their last game or 2 out of 3 of that team B has beaten by an average of
their last 3 games. #2 - Watch for the say 7 points, you most definitely have to
"I'd rather be home watching TV" teams. figure this into your final prediction.
These are teams who feel they were Also in this category, you will want to
slighted in the bowl they accepted. Some weigh the performance of the two teams
of the better teams in the country having against teams that are in bowl games.
to settle for lesser bowl games have a #8 - Overall schedule strength is a very
tendency to not even want to be there. important factor in handicapping bowl
I't's like an embarrassment to them and games, especially the strength of the
mentally are not prepared with a winning conference of both teams. A team coming
attitude. #3 - On the other side of the from a major conference will often be
coin from #2, watch out for teams who are matched against a team from a much
just excited to be there. Some teams who overall weaker conference. Playing a full
had no thoughts of playing in a bowl game schedule of much tougher opponents will
at the beginning of the season have a give a big edge over a team playing their
tendency to feel their season has been entire schedule against a lesser
accomplished and whether they win or lose conference. #9 - Always give an edge
doesn't really matter. They feel the factor to teams that have a high
season is already made. #4 - Look for percentage of spread covers during the
teams who have "been there, done that". regular season, especially covering the
There is a lot of hype and distractions spread as a underdog. This indicates that
during bowl game week and teams that have they are playing "up" against the tougher
never experienced it may be at a opponents and have had a lot of value
disadvantage when facing a team with bowl against the line. This will become even
experience. #5 - Look for teams with more prominent in a big game such as a
coaches who have considerable bowl game bowl game. #10 - Look for teams that
experience and especially a winning may be in a revenge situation from the
record in bowl games, this demonstrates previous bowl season. It is not revenge
an ability to "win the big game". against the team they are playing but
Experienced coaches have an edge on more so to overcome a poor performance
preparing their teams for the hype of from a previous bowl game experience. A
bowl games over a coach who is a first team who last year was a first time bowl
timer. (Continued from previous team and got blown away, will have gained
newsletter) #6 - Seeing as all bowl a lot of experience and will be much more
games are played on neutral fields, it is prepared and will want to erase the
really a road game for both teams. I like stigma from last year.
to give an edge to teams who have had As mentioned earlier, you still need to
winning records on the road, especially go through the normal statistical routine
against the spread during the regular of handicapping the game including the
season. Teams that do not have good road objectives such as injuries, field
records will have the added problem of conditions etc….The above are angles
dealing with all the hype. Bowl that are primarily unique to handicapping
experience of the coaches also plays a bowl games.






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